J.K. Dobbins: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Ravens Vs Texans – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

NFL action in Week 1 at M&T Bank Stadium will see the Baltimore Ravens and J.K. Dobbins take on the Houston Texans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

J.K. Dobbins Player Props vs the Texans

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
61.5 0 11.5 0 +110

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 3 2
Games w/1+ TDs 2 1
Games w/2+ TDs 0 0

J.K. Dobbins’ Rushing Trends

  • Dobbins contributed in the trenches last season, rushing for two touchdowns and 520 yards.
  • He averaged 5.7 yards per carry and 65.0 yards per game last year.
  • Dobbins ran for 520 yards to rank 44th in the NFL last season, and had two TDs on the ground to rank 62nd.

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Dobbins’ Receiving Trends

  • Last season Dobbins gained 5.3 yards per reception.

This Week’s Predictions

Dobbins (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Texans (2022) Prediction
61.5+ Rushing Yards 37.5% 39.3% 51.6% 41.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 25% 35.1% 51.6% 32.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 12.9% 4%
11.5+ Receiving Yards 25% 90.8% 94.9% 50.7%
1+ Receiving TDs 12.5% 22.3% 15.2% 14.4%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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