Josh Jacobs: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Raiders Vs Broncos – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

Week 1 NFL action will see Josh Jacobs and the Las Vegas Raiders hit the field against the Denver Broncos at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Josh Jacobs Player Props vs the Broncos

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
72.5 0 14.5 0 +115

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 11 9
Games w/1+ TDs 8 0
Games w/2+ TDs 3 0

Josh Jacobs’ Rushing Trends

  • Jacobs ran for 1,653 yards on 340 attempts (97.2 yards per game) and scored 12 touchdowns a season ago. He also averaged 23.5 receiving yards per game, grabbing 53 passes for 400 yards.
  • He was 11th in the NFL with 4.9 rushing yards per attempt last year (1,653 yards on 340 carries).
  • Jacobs gained 1,653 rushing yards to rank first in the NFL last season, and his 12 TDs on the ground ranked fifth.

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Jacobs’ Receiving Trends

  • Last year Jacobs gained 6.3 yards per reception, 109th in the league.

This Week’s Predictions

Jacobs (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Broncos (2022) Prediction
72.5+ Rushing Yards 52.9% 29.5% 27.3% 43.6%
1+ Rushing TDs 47.1% 35.1% 31.8% 41.8%
2+ Rushing TDs 17.6% 6.4% 9.1% 14.1%
14.5+ Receiving Yards 64.7% 84.5% 80.4% 71.1%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.3% 14.1% 6.3%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 6.5% 2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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