Week 1 of the NFL season features Joe Mixon and the Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Cleveland Browns at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Joe Mixon Player Props vs the Browns
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.5 | 0 | 21.5 | +100 | +110 |
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2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 5 | 10 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 4 | 2 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Joe Mixon’s Rushing Trends
- Mixon averaged 58.1 rushing yards per game with seven touchdowns last year. Mixon complemented his performance on the ground with 4.3 receptions and 31.5 receiving yards per game.
- He was 38th in the NFL with 3.9 rushing yards per attempt last year (814 yards on 210 carries).
- Mixon was 27th in the NFL with 814 yards on the ground last season, and his seven rushing TDs ranked 16th.
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Mixon’s Receiving Trends
- With 441 yards on 60 receptions, Mixon was 121st in the league with 5.9 yards per catch last season.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mixon (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Browns (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.5+ Rushing Yards | 42.9% | 42.1% | 51.7% | 45% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 28.6% | 35.1% | 48.3% | 34.3% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7% |
| 21.5+ Receiving Yards | 71.4% | 71.5% | 79.2% | 73.4% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 14.3% | 22.3% | 22.1% | 17.2% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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