Daniel Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Giants Vs Cowboys – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

Week 1 NFL action will see Daniel Jones and the New York Giants face off against the Dallas Cowboys at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday.

Daniel Jones Player Props vs the Cowboys

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
220.5 0 1.5 +145 34.5 0 +195

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 6 10
Games w/1+ TDs 11 5
Games w/2+ TDs 4 2

Daniel Jones’ Passing Trends

  • Jones threw for 3,205 yards last season (200.3 per game) while completing 67.2% of his passes (317-of-472), with 15 touchdowns and five interceptions.
  • With 3,205 yards on 472 pass attempts, Jones was 23rd in the NFL with 6.8 yards per attempt last year.
  • Jones was 15th in the NFL last season with 3,205 passing yards, and 21st with 15 passing TDs.

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Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • Jones also helped on the ground, collecting seven touchdowns on 44.3 yards per game.
  • He averaged 5.9 rushing yards per attempt (708 yards on 120 carries), fourth in the NFL.

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Cowboys (2022) Prediction
220.5+ Passing Yards 18.8% 53.2% 47.4% 30.2%
1+ Passing TDs 68.8% 77.7% 73.7% 71.1%
2+ Passing TDs 25% 40.5% 36.8% 29.9%
34.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 73.9% 89.3% 62.8%
1+ Rushing TDs 31.2% 35.1% 28.6% 31%
2+ Rushing TDs 12.5% 6.4% 0% 8.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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