Lamar Jackson: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Ravens Vs Texans – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens will take the field against the Houston Texans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.

Lamar Jackson Player Props vs the Texans

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
222.5 0 1.5 +100 53.5 0 +135

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 4 6
Games w/1+ TDs 9 3
Games w/2+ TDs 4 0

Lamar Jackson’s Passing Trends

  • Last year Jackson racked up 2,242 passing yards (186.8 yards per game) while going 203-for-326 (62.3% completion percentage) and throwing for 17 touchdowns with seven interceptions.
  • With 2,242 yards on 326 pass attempts, Jackson was 21st in the NFL with 6.9 yards per attempt last year.
  • Jackson’s 2,242 passing yards and 17 passing touchdowns ranked 26th and 16th, respectively, in NFL action last season.

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Jackson’s Rushing Trends

  • Jackson tacked on 764 rushing yards on 112 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 63.7 yards per game.
  • He averaged 6.8 yards per carry (second in NFL) while posting 63.7 yards per game last year.

This Week’s Predictions

Jackson (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Texans (2022) Prediction
222.5+ Passing Yards 25% 51.8% 50% 34.6%
1+ Passing TDs 75% 77.7% 62.5% 72.2%
2+ Passing TDs 33.3% 40.5% 31.3% 33.7%
53.5+ Rushing Yards 66.7% 49.5% 61.3% 63.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 25% 35.1% 51.6% 32.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 12.9% 4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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