Alexander Mattison: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Vikings Vs Buccaneers – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

Week 1 of the NFL season features Alexander Mattison and the Minnesota Vikings matching up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Alexander Mattison Player Props vs the Buccaneers

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
62.5 0 16.5 0

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 3 3
Games w/1+ TDs 4 1
Games w/2+ TDs 1 0

Alexander Mattison’s Rushing Trends

  • Mattison took 74 attempts for 283 rushing yards a season ago (16.6 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • He racked up 3.8 yards per carry (283 yards on 74 attempts) last season.
  • Mattison rushed for 283 yards to rank 71st in the league last season, and had five TDs rushing to rank 25th.

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Mattison’s Receiving Trends

  • Mattison averaged 5.1 yards per catch last season, with 91 yards on 15 receptions.

This Week’s Predictions

Mattison (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Buccaneers (2022) Prediction
62.5+ Rushing Yards 0% 37.9% 32.3% 12.8%
1+ Rushing TDs 23.5% 35.1% 19.4% 23.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 5.9% 6.4% 0.0% 4.5%
16.5+ Receiving Yards 5.9% 81.1% 78.3% 33.4%
1+ Receiving TDs 5.9% 22.3% 31.5% 14.4%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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