Mac Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Patriots Vs Eagles – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

Mac Jones’ New England Patriots will take on the Philadelphia Eagles at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.

Mac Jones Player Props vs the Eagles

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
222.5 0 1.5 +154 5.5 0 +650

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 7 3
Games w/1+ TDs 9 1
Games w/2+ TDs 4 0

Mac Jones’ Passing Trends

  • Mac Jones threw for 2,997 yards last season (214.1 per game) while completing 65.2% of his passes (288-of-442), with 14 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.
  • Jones averaged 6.8 yards per pass attempt last season, 23rd in the NFL.
  • Jones’ 2,997 passing yards and 14 passing touchdowns ranked 18th and 23rd, respectively, in league play last season.

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Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • Jones also tacked on 102 rushing yards on 47 carries with one touchdown, averaging 7.3 yards per game.
  • He averaged 2.2 rushing yards per carry (102 yards on 47 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Eagles (2022) Prediction
222.5+ Passing Yards 50% 51.8% 10.5% 40.4%
1+ Passing TDs 64.3% 77.7% 68.4% 67%
2+ Passing TDs 28.6% 40.5% 36.8% 32.1%
5.5+ Rushing Yards 42.9% 99.4% 100% 64.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 7.1% 35.1% 48.3% 20.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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