The Green Bay Packers and A.J. Dillon will square off against the Chicago Bears at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday for a Week 1 NFL contest.
A.J. Dillon Player Props vs the Bears
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5 | 0 | 8.5 | 0 | +190 |
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2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 7 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 6 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
A.J. Dillon’s Rushing Trends
- Dillon rushed for 770 yards and seven touchdowns last season.
- He was 34th in the NFL with 4.1 rushing yards per attempt last season (770 yards on 186 carries).
- Dillon’s 770 rushing yards ranked 32nd in the NFL last season, and his seven TDs on the ground ranked 16th.
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Dillon’s Receiving Trends
- Dillon averaged 4.8 yards per catch last season, with 206 yards on 28 receptions.
This Week’s Predictions
| Dillon (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Bears (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5+ Rushing Yards | 41.2% | 62.8% | 70% | 51.1% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 35.3% | 35.1% | 56.7% | 40.6% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 5.9% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| 8.5+ Receiving Yards | 58.8% | 94.4% | 92.5% | 71.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 7.8% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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