Cole Kmet: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Bears Vs Packers – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 5, 2023

Cole Kmet and his Chicago Bears teammates face the Green Bay Packers in a Week 1 NFL matchup at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Cole Kmet Player Props vs the Packers

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
31.5 +100 +285

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7
Games w/1+ TDs 5
Games w/2+ TDs 2

Cole Kmet’s Receiving Trends

  • Kmet filled up his receiving stat line last year. He collected 50 receptions for 544 yards and seven touchdowns. He was targeted 69 times and produced 32.0 yards per game.
  • Kmet’s 7.9 yards per catch average was 54th in the league
  • Kmet was 71st in the league with 544 receiving yards last season, and 15th with seven receiving TDs.

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This Week’s Predictions

Kmet (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Packers (2022) Prediction
31.5+ Receiving Yards 47.1% 55.4% 56.3% 50.4%
1+ Receiving TDs 29.4% 22.3% 23.9% 27.1%
2+ Receiving TDs 11.8% 3.2% 4.2% 8.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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