Dodgers Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 15, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 15, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers (93-53) ride an eight-game home winning streak into a matchup versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (47-98) at 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday. Julio Urias pitches for Los Angeles (-380 to win) while Arizona (+290) will answer with Merrill Kelly.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 15, 2021, 10:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 143 games this season and won 93 (65%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has played as a favorite of -380 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 75.5%.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Dodgers and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 16
ERA 2.48
K/9 9.1

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have come away with 36 wins in the 123 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Arizona this season with a +290 moneyline set for this game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 24.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 10
ERA 5.70
K/9 6.9

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

  • Kelly makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 25th of the season. He is 7-9 with a 4.30 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 142 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Thursday, Aug. 12 against the Giants, when he threw five innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up 11 hits.
  • In 24 games this season, the 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.30, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .259 against him.
  • Kelly will try to pick up his 23rd game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in 21 of Kelly’s starts this season, and they went 7-14 in those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 15, 2021 at 10:03 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Dodgers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 92-52
Home 51-22
Road 41-30
vs LHP (Starters) 27-13
vs RHP (Starters) 65-39
Day Games 6-5
Night Games 86-47

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Julio Urías

  • The Dodgers’ Urias (17-3) will make his 29th start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings against the Padres.
  • Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 2.98 ERA ranks 12th, his 1.010 WHIP ranks sixth, his 175 strikeouts rank 19th, and his 9.60 K/9 ranks 18th.
  • Urías has started 28 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 27 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team has won 81.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (22-5).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 15, 2021 at 10:03 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 47-97
Home 28-42
Road 19-55
vs LHP (Starters) 11-30
vs RHP (Starters) 36-67
Day Games 4-8
Night Games 43-89

Dodgers Hitting Stats

  • The Dodgers are fourth-best in baseball with 206 total home runs.
  • The Dodgers have hit 120 home runs at home this season (1.6 per game).
  • Los Angeles has powered out 16 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • The Dodgers are on a five-game winning streak heading into this matchup. During that streak the team is averaging 5.8 runs per game against the 1.8 per game it has allowed.
  • Trea Turner leads Los Angeles with a batting average of .318. He’s also hit 22 home runs with 61 RBI.
  • Justin Turner has 132 hits and an OBP of .363 to go with a slugging percentage of .474 this season.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks rank 29th in Major League Baseball with just 129 home runs as a team.
  • They have averaged 0.9 home runs per game in their 74 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Arizona has hit 10 home runs.
  • Josh Rojas has 30 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 51 walks while batting .268.
  • Ketel Marte’s 12 home runs lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+290)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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