Christian McCaffrey: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 49ers Vs Steelers – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 5, 2023

Week 1 NFL action will see Christian McCaffrey and the San Francisco 49ers face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Christian McCaffrey Player Props vs the Steelers

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
57.5 0 32.5 0

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 11 12
Games w/1+ TDs 8 5
Games w/2+ TDs 0 0

Christian McCaffrey’s Rushing Trends

  • McCaffrey was a force on the ground last season, with eight rushing touchdowns on 67.0 yards per game. McCaffrey was also productive in the passing game, totaling 85 catches and five touchdowns over the course of the year.
  • He was 18th in the NFL with 4.7 rushing yards per attempt last year (1,139 yards on 244 carries).
  • McCaffrey was eighth in the NFL with 1,139 yards on the ground last season, and his eight rushing TDs ranked 12th.

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McCaffrey’s Receiving Trends

  • Last year McCaffrey gained 6.9 yards per reception, 92nd in the league.

This Week’s Predictions

McCaffrey (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Steelers (2022) Prediction
57.5+ Rushing Yards 47.1% 44.7% 48.1% 47%
1+ Rushing TDs 47.1% 35.1% 22.2% 39.4%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0% 0.8%
32.5+ Receiving Yards 58.8% 54.3% 62.5% 59.2%
1+ Receiving TDs 29.4% 22.3% 27.5% 28%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 3.8% 1.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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