Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – September 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 5, 2023

The Phoenix Mercury (9-28) welcome in the Washington Mystics (17-20) after dropping three straight home games.

Before you place an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available in Tuesday’s game based on our computer predictions.

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Spread: Mercury (-7) to Cover

  • The Mystics are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (7 to 1.2 points). Take the Mercury and the points.
  • The Mercury have gone 10-23-0 ATS this year.
  • Phoenix is 3-10 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this year.
  • The Mystics’ ATS record is 16-17-0 this season.
  • When it has played as at least 7-point favorites this season, Washington is 1-3 against the spread.

Think the Mercury will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 153.5

  • In this matchup, the model projects a total (162.0 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (153.5 points). Bet on the over.
  • Mystics games have finished over 153.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 20 times (out of 33) this season.
  • This year, 20 of Phoenix’s 33 games have had a combined total higher than 153.5 points scored.
  • Out of the Mystics’ 33 games with a set total, 12 have hit the over (36.4%).
  • A total of 14 of the Mercury’s 33 games with a set total have hit the over (42.4%).

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Mystics (-298)

  • Prediction: Mystics 82, Mercury 80
  • Washington is 14-6 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 70% of those games).

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Mystics Leaders

  • Brittney Sykes leads the Mystics in scoring, tallying 15.4 points per game to go with 4.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists.
  • Tianna Hawkins leads Washington in rebounding, averaging 5.1 per game, while Natasha Cloud leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 5.9 in each contest.
  • Sykes makes more threes per game than any other member of the Mystics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.3 per contest.
  • Sykes and Queen Egbo lead Washington on the defensive end, with Sykes leading the team in steals, averaging 2.1 per game, and Egbo in blocks, averaging 0.7 per contest.

Mystics Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Ariel Atkins Out Nose
Shakira Austin Out Hip
Kristi Toliver Out For Season Knee

Mercury Leaders

  • Brittney Griner is at the top of the Mercury scoring leaderboard with 17.8 points per game. She also collects 6.7 rebounds and dishes out 2.1 assists per game.
  • The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Brianna Turner with 6.4 rebounds per game (he also adds 3.5 points and 1.3 assists per game) and Sug Sutton with 4.5 assists per game (he also tacks on 7.8 points and 2.3 rebounds per game).
  • Sophie Cunningham hits 1.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Moriah Jefferson with 1.2 per game, and its leader in blocks is Griner with 1.8 per game.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Skylar Diggins-Smith Out Personal

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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