Marlins Vs Nationals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 15, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 15, 2021

Lewin Diaz leads the Miami Marlins (61-84) into a contest with the Washington Nationals (60-85) a game after homering twice in an 8-2 defeat to the Nationals. It begins at 1:05 PM ET on Wednesday. Trevor Rogers pitches for Miami (-125 to win) while Washington (+105) will answer with Josh Rogers.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 15, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 45 times this season and won 25, or 55.6%, of those games.
  • This season, Miami has won 16 of its 24 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 53.2%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 10
ERA 3.44
K/9 8.6

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have come away with 27 wins in the 90 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 20-49 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 46.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5 when it comes to hitting the over.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 5.20
K/9 8.5

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josh Rogers

  • Josh Rogers (1-0) gets the starting nod for the Nationals, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, the lefty threw 6 2/3 innings against the Pirates, giving up two earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • Rogers will look to pick up his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Nationals were named the moneyline underdog for two Rogers starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 15, 2021 at 12:44 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 61-84
Home 38-34
Road 23-50
vs LHP (Starters) 15-27
vs RHP (Starters) 43-56
Day Games 4-11
Night Games 57-73

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Trevor Rogers

  • Trevor Rogers (7-7) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 23rd start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed three hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Braves on Friday.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 2.81, 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .218 in 22 games this season.
  • In 22 starts this season, Rogers has lasted five or more innings 17 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team has won 55.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-4).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 15, 2021 at 12:44 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 60-85
Home 34-40
Road 26-45
vs LHP (Starters) 17-27
vs RHP (Starters) 43-56
Day Games 5-9
Night Games 55-76

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins are third-worst in MLB play with 140 home runs.
  • The Marlins are 25-8 this season in games when they put up at least two home runs.
  • Miami has 10 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Miguel Rojas has been key for Miami with 121 hits, an OBP of .327 plus a slugging percentage of .400.
  • Jazz Chisholm is batting .250 this season with a team-high 15 home runs and 46 RBI.

Nationals Hitting Stats

  • The Nationals have hit 166 homers this season, which ranks 21st in the league.
  • They have averaged 1.2 home runs per game in their 74 home contests this season.
  • Washington has 12 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Juan Soto paces the Nationals in runs batted in (84) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .313.
  • Josh Bell’s 26 home runs lead his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Marlins (-125)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy