Reds Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 15, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 15, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (75-70) and Pittsburgh Pirates (53-91) do battle on Wednesday at 6:35 PM ET. Cincinnati (-130 to win) has Vladimir Gutierrez starting things off, while Pittsburgh (+110) counters Mitch Keller.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 15, 2021, 6:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 50 (55.6%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 36-24, a 60% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 11
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.6

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 131 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (35.1%) in those contests.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 37 of 111 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-4 when it comes to hitting the over.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 10
ERA 5.65
K/9 7.4

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

  • Keller gets the start for the Pirates, his 20th of the season. He is 4-11 with a 6.29 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 83 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Wednesday, Sept. 8 against the Tigers, when the righty went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • In 19 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 6.29, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .319 against him.
  • Keller has 12 starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in 17 of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 6-11 in those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 15, 2021 at 6:41 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 75-70
Home 38-33
Road 37-37
vs LHP (Starters) 18-16
vs RHP (Starters) 54-53
Day Games 25-18
Night Games 50-52

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Vladimir Gutierrez

  • Gutierrez (9-6) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his 20th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in five innings pitched against the Cubs on Wednesday.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.05, a 2.2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.300 in 19 games this season.
  • Gutierrez has made 15 starts of five or more innings in 19 chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
  • His team is 3-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 15, 2021 at 6:41 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 53-91
Home 33-40
Road 20-51
vs LHP (Starters) 14-32
vs RHP (Starters) 39-58
Day Games 13-28
Night Games 40-63

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds rank seventh in MLB play with 197 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.
  • The Reds have a 44-17 record in games this season when they rack up two or more homers.
  • Cincinnati has hit 11 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has been key for Cincinnati with 29 home runs, 82 RBI and a batting average of .314 this season.
  • Jonathan India has collected 128 hits this season and has an OBP of .377. He’s slugging .465 on the year.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 113 homers this season, which ranks last in the league.
  • They have averaged 0.8 home runs per game in their 73 home contests this season.
  • Pittsburgh has hit 10 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (23), runs batted in (85) and has a team-best batting average of .298.
  • Jacob Stallings is hitting .241 with 19 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 45 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Reds (-130)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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