Marvin Jones Jr.: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Lions Vs Chiefs – September 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 2, 2023

NFL play in Week 1 will see the Detroit Lions and Marvin Jones Jr. take on the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:20 PM ET on Thursday.

Marvin Jones Jr. Player Props vs the Chiefs

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
27.5 -110 +285

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 5
Games w/1+ TDs 3
Games w/2+ TDs 0

Marvin Jones Jr.’s Receiving Trends

  • Jones’ stat line last year was 46 catches for 529 yards and three touchdowns. He averaged 33.1 yards per game and was targeted 81 times.
  • Last year Jones gained 6.5 yards per reception, 102nd in the league.
  • Jones was 72nd in the league with three receiving TDs last season, and 76th with 529 receiving yards.

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This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Chiefs (2022) Prediction
27.5+ Receiving Yards 56.2% 61.3% 60.6% 57.9%
1+ Receiving TDs 18.8% 22.3% 23.9% 20.5%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 5.5% 1.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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