Chiefs vs. Lions Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 1

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 1, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) host the Detroit Lions (0-0) at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday, September 7 at 8:20 PM ET to begin the 2023 NFL season.

The Chiefs are 4-point favorites against the Lions. The total is 52.5 points.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 7, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Chiefs Vs Lions Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Chiefs -4 52.5

Chiefs vs. Lions Predictions

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Lions
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chiefs (-4) Under (52.5)

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Team Stat Rankings (2022)

Chiefs Lions
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 29.2 (1) 26.6 (5)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 21.7 (16) 25.1 (28)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.4 (1) 5.9 (4)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.1 (7) 6.2 (32)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 23 (17) 15 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 20 (20) 22 (17)

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Chiefs Betting Insights

  • The Chiefs beat the spread six times in 17 games last season.
  • As 4-point or greater favorites, Kansas City went 4-9-1 against the spread last season.
  • In 17 Kansas City games last year, eight hit the over.
  • Chiefs games had more than 52.5 points scored on eight occasions last year.
  • Kansas City games last season posted an average total of 49.6, which is 2.9 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

Lions Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Lions were 12-4-1 last year.
  • Detroit had an ATS record of 5-1-1 as underdogs of 4 points or more last year.
  • The Lions had 10 of their 17 games hit the over last year.
  • Last season, nine Detroit games featured over 52.5 points scored.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.4 points higher than the average scoring total for Lions games last season (49.1).

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Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Last year Patrick Mahomes II recorded a monster stat line with 5,250 passing yards (308.8 per game), a 67.1% completion percentage (435-for-648), 41 touchdowns, and only 12 interceptions. He also added 358 rushing yards on 61 carries with four rushing TDs (averaging 21.1 yards per game).
  • Isiah Pacheco rushed for 830 yards last season on 170 attempts (48.8 yards per game) and scored five times.
  • Travis Kelce reeled in 110 catches for 1,338 yards (78.7 per game) while being targeted 152 times. He also scored 12 touchdowns.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling also impressed receiving last year. He had 42 receptions for 687 yards and two touchdowns. He was targeted 81 times.
  • Richie James Jr. reeled in 57 passes for 569 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 33.5 yards per game last season.
  • George Karlaftis did his thing last season with an incredible stat line of 6.0 sacks, 7.0 TFL and 33 tackles.
  • Last season Nick Bolton grabbed 180 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions.
  • L’Jarius Sneed intercepted three passes last year while also totaling 108 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and 11 passes defended.

Lions Players to Watch

  • Jared Goff connected on 65.1% of his passes to throw for 4,438 yards and 29 touchdowns last season.
  • David Montgomery racked up five rushing touchdowns on 50.1 yards per game last season. Montgomery was also effective in the passing game, accumulating 34 catches and one touchdown over the course of the year.
  • Last season Craig Reynolds rushed for 102 yards.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown averaged 72.6 yards on 6.6 receptions per game and compiled six receiving touchdowns in 2022.
  • Kalif Raymond had 616 receiving yards (36.2 ypg) in 2022.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. caught 46 passes on his way to 529 receiving yards and three touchdowns a season ago.
  • Last year Aidan Hutchinson put pressure on opposing quarterbacks with 9.5 sacks, and added 9.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and three interceptions.
  • Alex Anzalone was a playmaker on defense last season with 125 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception.
  • Chauncey Gardner-Johnson collected six interceptions in addition to 67 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and eight passes defended a year ago.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs Lions

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