Vikings vs. Buccaneers Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 1

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 1, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Minnesota Vikings (0-0) host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, September 10 at 1:00 PM ET to start the 2023 NFL season. Last year the Vikings lost in the Wild Card round after a 13-4 season, while the Buccaneers finished 8-9 and lost in the Wild Card round.

The Vikings are 5-point favorites in their matchup with the Buccaneers. The over/under is set at 45.5 points.

The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of September 10, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. See below the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Vikings Vs Buccaneers Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Vikings -5 45.5

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Computer picks for Vikings vs Buccaneers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Vikings (-5) Under (45.5)

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Team Stat Rankings (2022)

Vikings Buccaneers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 24.9 (7) 18.4 (25)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 25.1 (28) 21.1 (13)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.5 (11) 5.1 (23)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.9 (29) 5.1 (7)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 23 (17) 22 (14)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 25 (8) 20 (20)

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Vikings Betting Insights

  • The Vikings had seven wins in 17 games against the spread last year.
  • Minnesota won once ATS (1-2) when favored by 5 points or more last season.
  • Minnesota had 11 of its 17 games hit the over last season.
  • A total of 12 times last season, the Vikings and their opponent combined to score more than 45.5 points.
  • The point total average for Minnesota games last season was 46.3, 0.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Buccaneers posted a 4-12-1 record against the spread last year.
  • Tampa Bay was winless ATS (0-1) when playing as at least 5-point underdogs last year.
  • The Buccaneers had six of their 17 games go over the point total last season.
  • Tampa Bay games finished with over 45.5 points scored five times last season.
  • Buccaneers games averaged 43.4 total points last season, 2.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Vikings Players to Watch

  • Kirk Cousins had an impressive passing stat line last year with 4,547 yards (267.5 yards per game), going 424-for-643 (65.9% completion percentage) with 29 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.
  • Last season Alexander Mattison took 74 carries for 283 yards (16.6 per game) and scored five touchdowns.
  • Justin Jefferson reeled in 128 catches for 1,809 yards (106.4 per game) while being targeted 184 times. He also scored eight touchdowns.
  • T.J. Hockenson amassed 914 yards on 86 grabs with six touchdowns. He was targeted 129 times, and averaged 53.8 receiving yards per game.
  • K.J. Osborn hauled in 60 passes on 90 targets for 650 yards and five touchdowns, compiling 38.2 receiving yards per game.
  • Danielle Hunter’s hard work last season produced a stat line of 10.5 sacks, 12 TFL and 65 tackles.
  • Jordan Hicks went to work last year, collecting 128 tackles, two TFL, three sacks, and one interception.
  • Harrison Smith collected five interceptions while adding 85 tackles, one TFL, and 10 passes defended last year.

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Baker Mayfield completed 60% of his passes to throw for 2,163 yards and 10 touchdowns last season.
  • Rachaad White racked up one rushing touchdown on 28.3 yards per game last season. White was also effective in the passing game, accumulating 50 catches and two touchdowns over the course of the year.
  • Chase Edmonds ran for two touchdowns on 245 yards a year ago.
  • Mike Evans averaged 74.9 yards on 5.1 receptions per game and compiled six receiving touchdowns in 2022.
  • Chris Godwin caught 104 passes last season on his way to 1,023 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
  • Cade Otton played his way to two receiving touchdowns and 391 receiving yards (24.4 ypg) last season.
  • Last year Vita Vea racked up 6.5 sacks, seven TFL and 31 tackles.
  • Lavonte David put together a great stat line last year, accruing 124 tackles, 10 TFL, and three sacks.
  • Last year Jamel Dean intercepted two passes to go along with 54 tackles, one TFL, and eight passes defended.

How to Bet on Vikings vs Buccaneers

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