DFS MLB Lineups for October 3 and 4, 2017 at Draftkings.com & Fanduel.com
For the rest of this DFS MLB season, we’ll be writing up a group of pitchers and hitters that we’re considering for our cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. As with any DFS sport, the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than they are in real life due to matchup, price, park factor, etc. This is important when constructing a roster. And if you’re looking for new ways to play DFS, be sure and give BOOM Fantasy and DRAFT a try!
A quick reminder while playing DFS MLB, don’t forget baseball is a game of variance. In the playoffs, the sample size is much smaller and there are bound to be some lucky, or unlucky bounces of the ball.
Pricing on these short playoff slates can be somewhat irrelevant at times, since it’s very difficult to go over the salary cap unless you’re using a very high-priced SP. Go with your gut and pick the batters who you believe you’ll do best, and don’t worry about leaving money on the table.
Another thing to remember outside of making sure your player is in the lineup, is to always check the weather. Always. Make this something that is part of your basic routine. Baseball games can get postponed! Your players receive no points from postponed games!
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10/3/17 MAIN SLATE TOURNAMENT RUNDOWN
DraftKings Home Run: $400 buy-in, $50k guaranteed
DraftKings Fastball: $33 buy-in, $50k guaranteed
DraftKings Knuckleball: $5 buy-in, $150k guaranteed
FanDuel Squeeze: $4 buy-in, $100k guaranteed
FanDuel Grand Slam: $33 buy-in, $30k guaranteed
FanDuel Rally: $7 buy-in, $15k guaranteed
Best DFS MLB Pitchers for October 3 and 4, 2017
He’s significantly more expensive than the other SPs on the slate and it might be worth fading Luis Severino at Yankee Stadium against a hot-hitting Twins team that tagged him for 3 ER over 3 IP on Sep 20. Ervin Santana is an intriguing contrarian option if you think the Twins can steal this Wild Card Game, as he’s been far more reliable with a 2.71 ERA and 1.05 WHIP on the road and has been solid with a 3.27 ERA over his last 3 appearances at Yankee Stadium. Their price difference is more drastic on DK, Santana makes more sense as a tournament play, but Severino is the safer option and more affordable on FD.
It’s quite intriguing to take Zack Greinke on DK in any format. The D’Backs ace went 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over 19 appearances at Chase Field last year and went 7 innings with 2 ER allowed in each of his last 2 home starts against Colorado. Current Rockies are posting a 31% K-Rate with 83 strikeouts over 367 career at-bats against Greinke, who has been hard to touch with a 1.01 WHIP and 3.55 ERA over 9 career postseason starts.
Best DFS MLB Hitters and Stacks for October 3 and 4, 2017
The weakest SP on this slate is Rockies RHP Jon Gray and he also happens to lack any postseason experience. While he struck out 10 in each start at Chase Field this year, Gray gave up 14 hits in those outings and used those K’s to escape trouble. It’s much harder to pull an escaping act in the playoffs and the D’Backs lineup has become even more potent with J.D. Martinez in the fold. Arguably the hottest hitter in baseball over the last month, he’s homered twice over 6 career at-bats against Gray and makes for the premier hitter to target on this two-game slate.
A Diamondbacks stack makes sense with Paul Goldschmidt serving as a potential contrarian play since he’s 0-for-11 lifetime against Gray. A more guarded approach could involve using cheaper D’Backs with the platoon advantage such as David Peralta (neck) and Ketel Marte (hamstring) as long as both players are active.
Of course, Aaron Judge needs to warrant consideration at Yankee Stadium, where he launched 33 of his rookie-record 52 homers with a .413 ISO Mark and 1.165 OPS on the season. Brett Gardner has great splits (11-for-31, 3 doubles) in his career against Santana and he could make for a mini-stack along with Judge, while Matt Holliday is a longshot to consider as a veteran that could come up clutch in a playoff game.
Lefties posted a respectable .287 wOBA with a 32.7% Hard Contact Rate off Severino this year, so if you fade the Yankees ace, consider Eddie Rosario as a potential cleanup hitter in the Twins lineup. Joe Mauer is also a solid cash game play regardless of whether you’re using Severino and Eduardo Escobar is another value to consider.
And finally, Charlie Blackmon is an elite play against any pitcher on any night, and should be lower owned than the majority of the other outfield plays.
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