Bills Vs Dolphins: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 2

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

AFC East rivals will clash in Week 2 when the Buffalo Bills (0-1) face the Miami Dolphins (1-0). The Dolphins, with +155 moneyline odds to win, welcome the Bills, listed at -3.5 on the spread, on September 19, 2021 at 1:00 PM ET on FOX. The over/under for the contest is set at 48.5 points.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 2:48 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bills Vs Dolphins Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Bills vs Dolphins
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Dolphins (+3.5) Under (48.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings (2020)

Bills Dolphins
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 31.3 (2) 25.3 (15)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 23.4 (16) 21.1 (6)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.1 (6) 5.3 (21)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.5 (12) 5.9 (23)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 22 (20) 20 (16)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 26 (3) 29 (1)

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo’s record against the spread last year was 11-5-0.
  • As 3.5-point favorites or more, the Bills went 5-4 against the spread last season.
  • There were 11 Buffalo games (out of 16) that went over the total last season.
  • In 11 games last year, Buffalo and its opponent combined for more than 48.5 points.
  • The over/under for this game is 48.5 points, 0.4 more than the average point total for Bills games a year ago.

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Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Miami’s record against the spread last season was 11-5-0.
  • The Dolphins had an ATS record of 5-2 as underdogs of 3.5 points or more last year.
  • Last season, seven of Miami’s 16 games went over the point total.
  • Miami’s games went over 48.5 points on eight occasions last year.
  • Dolphins games averaged 46.7 total points last season, 1.8 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Last season Josh Allen put together a monster passing stat line with 4,544 yards (284.0 per game), a 69.2% completion percentage, 37 touchdowns, and only 10 interceptions. He also added 421 rushing yards on 102 carries with eight rushing TDs (averaging 26.3 yards per game).
  • Devin Singletary racked up 687 rushing yards (42.9 per game) and two touchdowns last season. In the receiving game, he made 38 catches for 269 yards .
  • Zack Moss put up 481 rushing yards on 112 carries and four touchdowns last season.
  • In the previous year, Stefon Diggs grabbed 127 passes (on 166 targets) for 1,535 yards (95.9 per game). He also found the end zone eight times.
  • Cole Beasley tacked on 967 yards on 82 grabs with four touchdowns. He was targeted 107 times, and averaged 60.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Emmanuel Sanders’ stat line last season: 726 receiving yards, 61 catches, five touchdowns, on 82 targets.
  • Efe Obada did his thing last season with a huge stat line of 5.5 sacks, 6.0 TFL and 26 tackles.
  • Last season Tremaine Edmunds tallied 161 tackles, 6.5 TFL, and 2.0 sacks.
  • Tre’Davious White intercepted three passes last year while also totaling 70 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and 11 passes defended.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Tua Tagovailoa threw for 1,814 yards and 11 touchdowns last season.
  • Myles Gaskin racked up three rushing touchdowns on 48.7 yards per game last season. Gaskin was also efficient in the passing game, tallying 41 catches and two touchdowns over the course of the year.
  • Malcolm Brown rushed for 419 yards and five touchdowns last season.
  • Will Fuller V averaged 79.9 yards on 4.8 receptions per game and compiled eight receiving touchdowns in 2020.
  • DeVante Parker averaged 49.6 receiving yards on 7.4 targets per game in 2020, scoring four touchdowns.
  • Mike Gesicki hauled in 53 passes on his way to 703 receiving yards and six touchdowns a season ago.
  • Last year Emmanuel Ogbah accumulated 9.0 sacks, 10.5 TFL and 59 tackles.
  • Jerome Baker was a force on the field last season with 154 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 7.0 sacks.
  • Last year Xavien Howard intercepted 10 passes to go along with 62 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 20 passes defended.

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