Week 3 FanDuel.com DFS NFL Wide Receiver GPP and Cash Game Plays
Week 3 NFL is upon us and everyone is looking to cash in on the big money at FanDuel. Every week, we’ll bring you our top DFS NFL picks at each position, separating them into Cash Game and GPP plays. And to keep up with all things PlayPicks, follow us on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Cash game options generally come with less risk and a more stable floor, while the best GPP plays can come with tons of risk and upside. Taking a chance on players with high ceilings and low floors is a good way to separate from a large tournament field.
As with any DFS sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than they are in real life due to matchup, price, game flow, etc. This is important when constructing a roster. And if you’re looking for new ways to play DFS, be sure and give BOOM Fantasy and DRAFT a try!
In DFS NFL, predicting game flow can be vital towards success. Teams that are heavily favored and come through with a comfortable win will be far more likely to lean on their running game, while two teams with poor defenses and high-powered offenses could pay off by getting into a shootout. Later in the season, especially, weather will play a key factor in NFL games, so make sure to check the forecast for each Sunday.
Targeting games with high Over/Under lines is an effective strategy for GPP formats. In DFS NFL, you can not only stack players on the same team, but use WRs and QBs from the opposition as correlation plays in the hopes that a particular game turns into a shootout and provides heavy production on both sides of the ball.
In general, GPP plays are high-risk, high-reward prospects that can fizzle out and leave you empty handed. That said, if you want to win the big money, you have to take big chances and sometimes that means fading a safer choice for a risky play with more upside.
Week 3 DFS NFL Wide Receivers for Cash Games
Antonio Brown @ CHI ($9.0k FanDuel)
Brown was “held in check” by one of the top three corners in the game last week in Xavier Rhodes, which means he still caught 5-of-11 targets for 62 yards while opening things up for Martavis Bryant to have a big day. Ben Roethlisberger obviously prefers to pepper Brown with targets and that may be the Steelers best means of moving the ball on the road against an underrated Bears defense that’s held opponents to 3.2 YPC through 2 games this year. Chicago is ranked 26th in DVOA pass defense thus far and checked in at 27th in DVOA against the opposition’s top WR last season with no top CB worth mentioning.
Keenan Allen vs. KC ($7.2k FanDuel)
The Chiefs secondary is a formidable unit, but was severely weakened with Eric Berry (Achilles) going down for the year and was promptly flamed for 333 passing yards by the Eagles with Alshon Jeffery breaking out for 92 yards and a TD. Kansas City has struggled against shifty inside receivers over the past couple years and Allen hasn’t faced that unit since 2014 due to a series of unfortunate injuries. He’s healthy again and has drawn 10 targets in each of his appearances while running ankle-breaking routes. Philip Rivers has more trust in Allen than any other receiver and he’ll likely look towards his versatile receiver in key situations during a big home game.
Rashad Higgins @ IND ($5.1k FanDuel)
The struggling Browns face an equally inept team this week in the Colts this week and while this may seem like a game to avoid for fantasy purposes, points will likely be scored against a Colts team that ranks 31st in DVOA pass defense so far this year. Higgins vastly outplayed incumbent No. 1 receiver Kenny Britt last Sunday, catching a team-high 7 balls on 11 targets for 95 yards, and he won’t have to compete with injured WR Corey Coleman (hand) for targets or match up against Colts elite CB Vontae Davis in Week 3. He’s hungry after making it off the practice squad and giving more effort than Britt or other receivers should guarantee him targets.
Week 3 DFS NFL Wide Receivers for GPPs
A.J. Green @ GB ($7.5k FanDuel)
This is a play for the truly bold, as the Bengals offense looked completely inept over 2 losses to open the season. They moved on from OC Ken Zampese and new play-caller Bill Lazor notably turned Ryan Tannehill into a viable fantasy play with his scheme in Miami. Featuring Green is an obvious way to establish a vertical attack for a struggling Bengals team and he could certainly burn a Packers unit that ranked 28th in DVOA pass defense against the opposition’s top receiver last year, giving up the second-most passing YPG (269.2) and passing TDs (32) in the process. Green’s posted excellent road splits throughout his career and could post his first big line of the season while Cincy tries to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers.
Randall Cobb vs. CIN ($6.4k FanDuel)
With Jordy Nelson (quad) allegedly “50-50” to play in Sunday’s home game, the Packers could be thin at WR. And while Cobb’s ownership rate should remain low due to the questionable (shoulder) tag next to his name, an MRI on that injury came back clean and he’s expected to suit up. Risk of re-aggravation makes him more of a tournament play, but he’s leading the Packers in targets (22) and receptions (15) despite playing just 6 quarters through 2 games. Davante Adams will get the attention of solid CB Adam Jones on the outside, while Cobb could torch Bengals slot CB Darqueze Dennard.
Kenny Golladay vs. ATL ($5.9k FanDuel)
After a breakout performance in Week 1, Golladay caught just one ball in an easy win over the Giants on Monday night. The Lions only attempted four passes after halftime due to the pathetic nature of the Giants offense and while he didn’t make as much of an impact, Golladay still played on 54 percent of snaps in a blowout win and is clearly the third WR on a pass-happy unit that will be forced to throw to match the Falcons league-leading offense this Sunday. He has a marked size advantage on Falcons boundary CB Robert Alford, who is 5-10 to Gollladay’s 6-4, and he could abuse him like he did the diminutive Justin Bethel in Week 1.