DFS MLB Lineups for July 1, 2017 at Draftkings.com & Fanduel.com
For this daily fantasy baseball season, each day there’s a good slate of DFS MLB games, we’ll be writing up a group of pitchers and hitters that we’re considering for our cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. We’ll also provide a list of stacks to consider, MLB start times, starting pitchers, and game run totals to give you a good idea of where the fantasy goodness might come from on a given night. As with any DFS sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than they are in real life due to matchup, price, park factor, etc. This is important when constructing a roster. And if you’re looking for new ways to play DFS, be sure and give BOOM Fantasy and DRAFT a try!
We’ve got 7 games on the main DFS MLB slate for July 1 with Zack Greinke, Rich Hill, and Gio Gonzalez coming in at 5 figures on DK. At first glance, I might be looking hard at Jason Hammel at $6.8k. The Twins are in a massive slump and quietly, Hammel has reached at least 18 DK points in 4 of his last 5 starts. As for bats, gimme Tigers against Tomlin, and Astros against Jordan Montgomery. Those of you that read this column often know, on short slates, I try to look for high upside leverage spots. Jordan Montgomery has been pretty great and might garner at least moderate ownership considering he’s just $6.9k. In a battle of good, young pitcher versus best offense in baseball…give me best offense in baseball. Montgomery could definitely hold the Astros in check, but should they get to the lefty for 6-7 runs, I’ll be in great shape. Have a great holiday weekend and I hope to see you above the cash line. – Matt
A quick reminder while playing DFS MLB, don’t forget baseball is a game of variance. You can make a really solid lineup and still fall short of the cash line. Even Clayton Kershaw can get lit up, and Mike Trout can still go 0 for 4. Baseball is funny like that. Trust the process and know that if you’re playing quality lineups, you’ll be a winner in the long term.
Another thing to remember outside of making sure your player is in the lineup, is to always check the weather. Always. Make this something that is part of your basic routine. Baseball games can get postponed! Your players receive no points from postponed games!
7/1/17 MAIN SLATE TOURNAMENT RUNDOWN
DraftKings Summer Bash: $40 buy-in, $175k guaranteed
DraftKings Perfect Game: $333 buy-in, $125k guaranteed
DraftKings Rally Cap: $8 buy-in, $65k guaranteed
FanDuel Monster: $555 buy-in, $100k guaranteed
FanDuel Grand Slam: $33 buy-in, $33k guaranteed
FanDuel Squeeze: $4 buy-in, $100k guaranteed
Best DFS MLB Pitchers for July 1, 2017
Rich Hill @ SDP ($11.3k DraftKings, $8.4k FanDuel)
With little to choose from tonight, it might be worth attacking the weak. The Padres .220 batting average and .649 OPS against left-handed pitching is an MLB-worst. Rich Hill will take the ball for the Dodgers tonight in the midst of a down year (4.60 ERA in 10 starts), but he does have swing-and-miss stuff (50 strikeouts in 47 innings) and is a year removed from being one of the top starting pitchers in baseball. It also helps that he is pitching at Petco Park which should limit the Padres offense.
Sam Gaviglio vs LAA ($7.2k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)
The rookie owns a 3.32 ERA in his first career MLB starts and while his low whiff rate seems to indicate his success is not sustainable, he could be helped out tonight by a feeble Angels offense. Their .243 batting average and .706 OPS against right-handed pitching this season is the third-worst in the American League. The Angels have only homered 26 times in 27 games this month, so their inability to get the longball should help Gaviglio limit the Angels damage.
Zack Greinke vs COL ($11.9k DraftKings, $9.4k FanDuel)
At home, there have been few pitchers in baseball better than Greinke this season. In his nine starts at Chase Field, he is 7-0 with a 2.68 ERA while striking out 74 batters in 57 innings. Away from Coors Field, the Rockies are one of the worst-hitting teams in baseball, hitting just .250 with a .696 OPS in 44 that were not played in Colorado. Sure, Chase is also a hitter-friendly park, but Greinke is striking enough batters out and has a strong enough offense behind him to go out and earn the win.
Other pitchers to consider: Jordan Montgomery, Gio Gonzalez
Best DFS MLB Hitters for July 1, 2017
Paul Goldschmidt vs. COL ($5.5k DraftKings, $4.8k FanDuel)
Goldschmidt is working on a strong month on June where he is hitting .367 with seven home runs and an 1.129 OPS in 26 games. He does more of his damage at home (1.145 OPS) and thrives against right-handed pitching (1.096 OPS) which are winning recipes for a guy who has clubbed 19 home runs this season. Plus, he is facing Tyler Chatwood, who struggles to throw strikes, has allowed 1.3 home runs per nine innings and owns a 5.10 FIP this season. Maybe that mixed with the hot weather should be enough for Goldschmidt to excel.
Bryce Harper vs St. Louis ($5.6k DraftKings, $3.5k FanDuel)
Harper as an OPS over 1.000 on the year which makes him one of the most feared hitters in the game at only 24 years old. He is even better against right-handed pitching, hitting .317 with 16 home runs and a 1.067 OPS in 199 at-bats against them. That should be helpful tonight as he faces a struggling Michael Wacha, who has allowed 28 runs in his past seven starts while averaging less than five innings per start. Plus, Harper is surrounded by talented bats, so he should have some RBI opportunities.
Aaron Judge vs. HOU ($5.7k DraftKings, $3.8k FanDuel)
Aaron Judge hits everything well all the time which is why he is a Rookie of the Year and MVP candidate. Judge has an 1.136 OPS and 22 home runs in 217 at-bats against right-handers through 75 games this season. Home runs are his speciality so he should be able to torch the Astros starter, righty Francis Martes, who did not win any of his eight Triple-A starts this season, and posted an ERA over 5.00 in those contests. If he did not pitch well in Triple-A, then there is little reason to believe he could excel in the big leagues.
Other hitters to consider: Nelson Cruz, Gary Sanchez, Robinson Cano, Ben Gamel, Didi Gregorius, Daniel Murphy, Jake Lamb, Adam Lind, Mike Zunino, Jay Bruce, Michael Conforto, Erik Gonzalez, Bradley Zimmer, Lonnie Chisenhall
7/1/17 DFS MLB STACKS
Mariners vs. Ricky Nolasco
The good: Nolasco is leading the league in something. The bad: it is home runs allowed. The Angels starter is 3-9 this year with a 4.86 ERA in 16 starts while posting a 5.72 FIP and allowing 23 home runs in 90.2 innings. His struggles have been elevated at home, going 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA in those seven outings. Albeit they have had a few holes in their lineup throughout the year, the Mariners are hitting righties pretty well (.268 batting average, .765 OPS though 80 games) so they should be able to capitalize on facing a weaker one. Ben Gamel and Mike Zunino are swinging hot bats while Jean Segura, Nelson Cruz and Robinson Cano are piecing together strong years.
Yankees vs. Francis Martes
Martes wasn’t even good in Triple-A this year; he went 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA in the Pacific Coast League this year. In four MLB outings this year, he owns a 5.50 ERA and is going about four innings per start which is better than expected given his minor league struggles. Maybe the Yankees can hit him with a little bit of reality since they are excelling against right-handed pitchers this season (.279 batting average, 98 home runs, .831 OPS headed into Friday’s game). Injuries might be mounting for the Yankees, but they still have some quality bats to choose from(Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Brett Gardner, Chase Headley and Didi Gregorius).
Nationals vs Michael Wacha
Wacha got off to a strong start but over his last seven starts, he has been mortal. In 31.1 innings, he has surrendered 28 runs and opposing batters own a .333 batting average and .900 OPS against him. Maybe that’s a season to try the best offense in the National League against him. Headed into their game Friday, the Nationals were hitting .279 with an MLB-best 99 home runs and an NL-best .821 OPS against righties. Given that info, the Nationals should have the edge over the Cardinals tonight, especially Bryce Harper, Adam Lind, Ryan Zimmerman and Daniel Murphy.
Other Stacks to consider:
Indians vs. Jordan Zimmermann
Diamondbacks vs. Tyler Chatwood