Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 2, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (66-44) will look to keep a three-game winning streak alive when they visit the New York Yankees (55-52) at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Rays are an underdog (+100 on the moneyline) when they visit the Yankees (-119). The over/under in the game is 7.5 total runs.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 2, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Rays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -119 +100 7.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 40, or 58%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 35-21 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 107 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 54-53-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 12
ERA 4.40
K/9 9.2

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 3-12 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over in 56 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rays have an against the spread record of 60-50-0 in 110 games with a line this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 15
ERA 4.35
K/9 10.0

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole

  • Cole and his team are 12-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings pitched against the Baltimore Orioles on Friday.
  • Cole has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 22 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Cole’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 15-5.
  • Cole’s team has won 15 of his 22 starts this season.
  • Out of Cole’s 22 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 45 39.1 32 2.29 14 4
Clay Holmes 41 40.2 50 1.77 5 14
Keynan Middleton 38 36.1 47 3.96 5 2
Albert Abreu 35 45 50 4.00 3 0
Michael King 34 54 62 3.17 6 6

Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan

  • McClanahan gets the start for the Rays, his 21st of the season. He is 11-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 111 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Houston Astros, when he went five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • McClanahan is trying to pick up his 17th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • In three of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Rays were named the moneyline underdog for one McClanahan start this season — they won.
  • McClanahan’s team is 15-5 over his 20 starts.
  • McClanahan has started 20 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 43 43 53 2.51 10 10
Colin Poche 42 38.2 32 2.56 13 1
Jake Diekman 41 33.1 39 4.32 7 0
Kevin Kelly 39 46.1 38 2.91 9 2
Robert Stephenson 38 33.1 45 3.78 8 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have hit two or more dingers in 57 games this season, and are 43-14 in those outings.
  • New York is 13-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 44-22 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • New York is 42-12 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 18-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They are 37-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 26-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 74 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-25.
  • Tampa Bay has a 48-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 21-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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